The decisive vote in 2014 put Scottish independence on the back burner for a generation - and then the Brexit vote put it back front and centre.
The last referendum was a fight between Continuity Scotland and actually-existing-Scotland. Brexit has destroyed both sides core economic cases. The collapse of the oil price and a hard tariff wall at Carlisle make the economic case for independence much more challenging. The poorly-thought out proposals for Brexit have destroyed the No campaign's case for economic stability and reliability.
The key driver of the independence debate has moved away from Scotland and back to Westminster politics. Labour has almost ceased to exist and UKIP wait like the wolf to go after their seats in the north of England. The Tories remain split between hard-Brexiteers and pro-Europeans who want to remain in the single market. Politics in the UK will have a pronounced English nationalist flavour after the next election - one that will not be conducive north of the border.
The Scottish unionists are being left to swing in the wind, there is no impulse to rebuild a multi-national unionism amongst their erstwhile English colleagues.
So where does this leave the independence movement? The economic case was the weakest part of the prospectus in 2014, by some considerable measure. What was proposed then is entirely discredited. Hard questions on the currency and tax and spend must be addressed. There is no doubt that independence now would require a considerable financial retrenchment in the short and medium term.
The key focus must be on a restructuring of Scotland's tax base - and positioning the economy for the future, the digital world.
But it is not all bad news. Europe remains a continent whose lingua franca is Standard American Business English - and small countries like Scotland and Ireland, whose populations are mostly fluent in it will do well. The flensing of rUK's European institutions and great universities bring opportunities.
This book systematically looks at Scotland's institutions, economy, cities and cultural life and makes a set of 63 concrete recommendations.
Gordon Guthrie, the author, is a former SNP Parliamentary Candidate and reviewed the party's electoral systems as part of the modernising process in the run up to the formation of the first SNP administration.
The last referendum was a fight between Continuity Scotland and actually-existing-Scotland. Brexit has destroyed both sides core economic cases. The collapse of the oil price and a hard tariff wall at Carlisle make the economic case for independence much more challenging. The poorly-thought out proposals for Brexit have destroyed the No campaign's case for economic stability and reliability.
The key driver of the independence debate has moved away from Scotland and back to Westminster politics. Labour has almost ceased to exist and UKIP wait like the wolf to go after their seats in the north of England. The Tories remain split between hard-Brexiteers and pro-Europeans who want to remain in the single market. Politics in the UK will have a pronounced English nationalist flavour after the next election - one that will not be conducive north of the border.
The Scottish unionists are being left to swing in the wind, there is no impulse to rebuild a multi-national unionism amongst their erstwhile English colleagues.
So where does this leave the independence movement? The economic case was the weakest part of the prospectus in 2014, by some considerable measure. What was proposed then is entirely discredited. Hard questions on the currency and tax and spend must be addressed. There is no doubt that independence now would require a considerable financial retrenchment in the short and medium term.
The key focus must be on a restructuring of Scotland's tax base - and positioning the economy for the future, the digital world.
But it is not all bad news. Europe remains a continent whose lingua franca is Standard American Business English - and small countries like Scotland and Ireland, whose populations are mostly fluent in it will do well. The flensing of rUK's European institutions and great universities bring opportunities.
This book systematically looks at Scotland's institutions, economy, cities and cultural life and makes a set of 63 concrete recommendations.
Gordon Guthrie, the author, is a former SNP Parliamentary Candidate and reviewed the party's electoral systems as part of the modernising process in the run up to the formation of the first SNP administration.
